📈 Monthly Market Report - Key Takeaways (Markdown Summary)

YouTube Video: https://www.youtube.com/live/ejysW9rnnPQ?si=O43plwWkQcTKYZGN

Market Overview

• [~00:50] NASDAQ up over 9%, S&P 500 up 6% in May.
• [~01:20] “Lockout rally” likely started in late April.
• [~01:45] Recovery compared to 1998 V-shaped rebound.
• [~02:15] AI bull-bear sentiment = -21, still early.
• [~03:15] Negative macro headlines no longer weighing heavily.
• [~04:00] Margin debt down $90B since start of year.
• [~04:30] Hedge funds are short and off-sides.
• [~04:40] Nvidia experienced false breakout, but did not fail.
• [~05:00] AI is deflationary—free high-quality answers.
• [~05:30] U.S. pumping +3M barrels/day; crude oil < 50-day MA.
• [~05:50] Deregulation + cool PCE = disinflation trend.

Market Psychology & Strategy

• [~06:30] Disconnect between sentiment (bearish) vs. action (bullish).
• [~07:30] Even seasoned investors are affected by political emotion.
• [~08:15] Ukraine conflict didn’t cause market panic—emotions != price.
• [~08:45] Institutional shorts could lead to short-covering fuel.

AI & Leadership Stocks

Nvidia (NVDA)

• [~09:45] Lagged S&P for ~1 year; recently regained strength.
• Still a major signal but not leading right now.

Palantir (PLTR)

• [~10:15] Called top AI market leader.
• 99 Composite, 99 RS, strong volume.
• Fits military/government AI use case.
• [~12:00] Still buyable, not extended.

Credo (CRDO)

• [~17:00] Makes AI high-speed cables.
• 602% EPS growth, Comp 97, 13% insider-owned.
• 20% after-hours earnings move.
• Phased buy strategy over time recommended.

Alab (ALAB)

• [~21:20] Sister to CRDO. Tripled off lows. Still digesting.

Oddity Tech (ODD)

• [~22:40] Gapped down on CEO share sale, but rebounded.
• Awaiting secondary offering. Still long position.

NRG

• [~25:10] Tight flag. Highest volume in 2 years.
• No earnings yet but price action strong.

Power/Energy Stocks: VRT, VST, GEV

• [~27:15] GEV cited as leader in power + AI space.
• [~28:00] VST/VRT in early turnarounds.

Reddit

• [~29:30] Extended. Needs digestion.
• Early breakout fueled by Nvidia IPO support.

Coreweave

• [~30:15] Backed by Nvidia IPO. Huge volume, great fundamentals.
• Expected to digest before next leg up.

Duolingo (DUOL)

• [~32:45] Gamified language learning. Strong earnings.
• Tight consolidation after breakout.
• Buyable above short-term pivot.

Roblox (RBLX)

• [~34:45] Bought after digestion. 32% above 50-day MA.
• Hedged using calls due to overextension.

HIMS

• [~36:45] High volatility. Fundamentals okay, but climax top risk.
• Not preferred for long-term positioning.

Zscaler (ZS)

• [~38:30] Strong response to earnings. #12-ranked group.
• Passed due to existing exposure.

Broadcom (AVGO)

• [~40:30] Acting better than NVDA.
• $1T market cap. Strong base before earnings.

Dutch Bros (BROS)

• [~42:15] High traffic stores. Stable growth.
• Not explosive but good consumer non-durable hedge.

Gold & Bitcoin

Gold

• [~43:45] Broke out in March 2024 from 14-year base.
• Recent 50-day line test = new buy.
• Commodity bull cycles typically last 5–10 years.

Bitcoin / IBIT

• [~45:10] Pullback to 60k level is constructive.
• Long-term bullish; “better than gold.”
• Strong support from institutions; underowned globally.

Trading Philosophy

• [~15:45] Avoid short digestions; wait for proper bases.
• [~16:30] “Don’t break rules.” Stick to position trading.
• [~19:45] Market echoing COVID + 1998 recoveries.
• [~46:50] TMLs can yield 300–1000% gains.
• Size + patience = transformation of net worth.
• Proper conviction helps endure volatility.

June Battle Plan

• [~47:45] Wait for digestions to resolve (up or down).
• Market sentiment:
  • Short-term = 5–6
  • Medium & Long-term = wildly bullish
• Secular bull market still early. AI ≈ Internet 20 years ago.
• Younger traders may take more risk; seasoned traders should focus on setup & sizing.

Final Thoughts

• Innovation cycle is alive: from GM to Apple to Palantir.
• America’s innovation engine is running strong.
• Use fundamentals + volume to identify true leaders.
• Fear ruins setups; patience builds wealth.
• “Golden Goose” mindset from Bill O’Neil: Find the next great American growth story.